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Hvidovre vs AC Horsens Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Promotion Group - 27 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:00

Hvidovre

PPG 1.54 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

AC Horsens

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.8%0-112.0%0-24.9%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.3%1-113.2%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.9%2-17.2%2-22.9%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.3%3-12.6%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.9% 47.2% 2.12 -11.2%

Draw 31.3% 33.6% 2.98 -6.7%

Away win 26.8% 28.6% 3.50 -6.2%

Over 2.5 29.9% 46.5% 2.15 -35.7%

Over 3.5 12.7% 25.6% 3.90 -50.5%

BTTS 37.0% 55.6% 1.80 -33.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob37.0%

H 42% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.3%

#2 0–0 14.8%

#3 1–1✓ 13.2%

#4 0–1 12.0%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hvidovre1.1

AC Horsens0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.9% · O3.5 PROB 12.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HVIDOVRE · PPG 1.54

AC HORSENS · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.54), Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Win probability 1X2

Hvidovre (H) 41.9%

ODDS 2.12 · IMPLIED 47.2% EV -11.2%

Draw 31.3%

ODDS 2.98 · IMPLIED 33.6% EV -6.7%

AC Horsens (A) 26.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hvidovre face AC Horsens in Denmark - 1. Division on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hvidovre a 42% chance, the draw 31% and AC Horsens 27%, so Hvidovre are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Hvidovre and 0.8 for AC Horsens (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hvidovre are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.46 for AC Horsens. This match finished 1-1.

Hvidovre vs AC Horsens Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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