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P. Horodenka PPG 1.08 
MFC Metalurh PPG 0.67
P. Horodenka vs MFC Metalurh Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga
P. Horodenka PPG 1.083-1 MISS
MFC Metalurh PPG 0.67 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
P. Horodenka face MFC Metalurh in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Horodenka a 77% chance, the draw 17% and MFC Metalurh 6%, so P. Horodenka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for P. Horodenka and 0.4 for MFC Metalurh (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 31% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Horodenka are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 0.67 for MFC Metalurh. This match finished 3-1.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 47.1% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 25.5% Odds: — —
BTTS 31.1% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
P. Horodenka 2.12
MFC Metalurh 0.43
Model Suggestion
Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 53 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 49%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 53%
ROI 5.2%
Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.08) > Away POOR (0.67)