Today / Obolon Kyiv U19 vs SK Poltava U19

Obolon Kyiv U19 vs SK Poltava U19 Prediction

Thursday, April 16, 2026

Obolon Kyiv U19
PPG 1.09 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
SK Poltava U19
PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-13.6%0-20.8%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-016.6%1-17.5%1-21.7%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.2%2-17.8%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.9%3-15.4%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-010.0%4+-14.5%4+-21.0%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 75.8%
Draw 17.4%
Away win 6.8%
Over 2.5 46.3%
Over 3.5 24.8%
BTTS 31.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob31.7%

H 76% / xG 2.1-0.5 / O2.5 46% / NoBTTS 32%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.2%
#2 1–0 16.6%
#3 3–0 11.9%
#4 0–0 8.0%
#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Obolon Kyiv U192.1
SK Poltava U190.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.3% · O3.5 PROB 24.8%

Form & verdict PPG

OBOLON KYIV U19 · PPG 1.09

SK POLTAVA U19 · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Obolon Kyiv U19 (H) 75.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 17.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
SK Poltava U19 (A) 6.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Obolon Kyiv U19 face SK Poltava U19 on Thursday, April 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Obolon Kyiv U19 a 76% chance, the draw 17% and SK Poltava U19 7%, so Obolon Kyiv U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Obolon Kyiv U19 and 0.5 for SK Poltava U19 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Obolon Kyiv U19 are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 0.00 for SK Poltava U19. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org