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Breitenrain vs Young Boys II Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Matchday 4 ·Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 17:30

Breitenrain

PPG 1.48 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWWL

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Young Boys II

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.0% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.3%0-23.3%0-31.7%0-4+0.9%1 1-05.7%1-18.8%1-26.8%1-33.5%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.7%2-18.9%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.9%3-16.0%3-24.7%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.9%4+-23.8%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% 51.3% 1.95 -6.8%

Draw 22.7% 27.0% 3.70 -9.6%

Away win 29.6% 32.3% 3.10 -4.9%

Over 2.5 65.0% 67.6% 1.48 -3.8%

Over 3.5 43.5% 45.5% 2.20 -4.3%

BTTS 63.2% 70.4% 1.42 -10.3%

Home O1.5 57.3% 59.9% 1.67 -4.3%

Away O1.5 48.5% 46.5% 2.15 +4.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.2%

H 48% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Breitenrain2.0

Young Boys II1.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BREITENRAIN · PPG 1.48

YOUNG BOYS II · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.48 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Breitenrain (H) 47.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -6.8%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -9.6%

Young Boys II (A) 29.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -4.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Breitenrain face Young Boys II in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Breitenrain a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Young Boys II 30%, so Breitenrain are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Breitenrain and 1.5 for Young Boys II (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Breitenrain are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.33 for Young Boys II. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +4.3%. This match finished 4-2.

Breitenrain vs Young Boys II Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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