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Italy - Serie B logo Italy flag Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 36 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo· Catanzaro Saturday, April 25, 2026 10:30
Catanzaro logo Catanzaro PPG 1.88
4-2 MISS
Spezia logo Spezia PPG 0.76
Home· +65.7% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 76.0%
Odds: 2.18 EV: +65.7%
Draw 15.0%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -48.3%
Away 9.0%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -72.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.7% Odds: 1.83 +18.4%
Over 3.5 42.7% Odds: 3.10 +32.4%
BTTS 49.6% Odds: 1.62 -19.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Catanzaro
2.56
Spezia
0.77

Model Suggestion

Home +65.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.88), Away POOR (0.76) - Strong consensus

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