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Italy - Serie B
Regular Season - 36
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo· Catanzaro
Saturday, April 25, 2026
10:30
Catanzaro
PPG 1.88
4-2
MISS
Spezia
PPG 0.76
Home· +65.7%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
76.0%
Odds: 2.18
EV: +65.7%
Draw
15.0%
Odds: 3.45
EV: -48.3%
Away
9.0%
Odds: 3.10
EV: -72.1%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
64.7%
Odds: 1.83
+18.4%
Over 3.5
42.7%
Odds: 3.10
+32.4%
BTTS
49.6%
Odds: 1.62
-19.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
3-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
3-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Catanzaro
2.56
Spezia
0.77
Model Suggestion
Home
+65.7%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in GOOD form (1.88), Away POOR (0.76) - Strong consensus