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Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905 Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 13:00

Sigma Olomouc

PPG 1.79 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWL

UPCOMING

Bohemians 1905

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWDD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.1% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-18.1%0-24.2%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.8%1-112.3%1-26.3%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.0%2-19.3%2-24.8%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.5%3-14.7%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.5%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.2% 58.1% 1.72 -20.5%

Draw 25.2% 27.4% 3.65 -4.8%

Away win 28.6% 23.3% 4.30 +13.8%

Over 2.5 52.3% 56.5% 1.77 -7.4%

Over 3.5 31.6% 33.9% 2.95 -6.8%

BTTS 54.1% 59.9% 1.67 -9.7%

Home O1.5 39.9% 56.5% 1.77 -29.4%

Away O1.5 32.2% 31.3% 3.20 +3.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 17.4%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.1%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 11.8%

#3 2–1 9.3%

#4 2–0 9.0%

#5 0–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sigma Olomouc1.5

Bohemians 19051.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SIGMA OLOMOUC · PPG 1.79

BOHEMIANS 1905 · PPG 1.36

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.48 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sigma Olomouc (H) 46.2%

ODDS 1.72 · IMPLIED 58.1% EV -20.5%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -4.8%

Bohemians 1905 (A) 28.6%

ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV +13.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sigma Olomouc face Bohemians 1905 in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sigma Olomouc a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Bohemians 1905 29%, so Sigma Olomouc are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sigma Olomouc and 1.0 for Bohemians 1905 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sigma Olomouc are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 1.36 for Bohemians 1905. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +11.0%.

Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905 Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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