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Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:00

Bohemians 1905

PPG 1.21 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWD ·

UPCOMING

Mlada Boleslav

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-19.7%0-26.8%0-33.2%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.8%1-112.3%1-28.6%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.6%2-17.8%2-25.5%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.4%3-13.3%3-22.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% 43.9% 2.28 -18.8%

Draw 26.8% 29.9% 3.35 -6.1%

Away win 37.6% 35.0% 2.86 +7.5%

Over 2.5 52.3% 54.1% 1.85 -3.2%

Over 3.5 31.0% 32.3% 3.10 -3.9%

BTTS 54.3% 60.6% 1.65 -10.4%

Home O1.5 37.2% 46.5% 2.15 -20.0%

Away O1.5 40.9% 39.2% 2.55 +4.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 17.4%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.3%

A 38% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 1–2 8.6%

#4 0–0 7.0%

#5 0–1 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bohemians 19051.3

Mlada Boleslav1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BOHEMIANS 1905 · PPG 1.21

MLADA BOLESLAV · PPG 1.46

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.13 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bohemians 1905 (H) 35.6%

ODDS 2.28 · IMPLIED 43.9% EV -18.8%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -6.1%

Mlada Boleslav (A) 37.6%

ODDS 2.86 · IMPLIED 35.0% EV +7.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bohemians 1905 face Mlada Boleslav in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bohemians 1905 a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Mlada Boleslav 38%, so Mlada Boleslav are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bohemians 1905 and 1.4 for Mlada Boleslav (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bohemians 1905 are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.46 for Mlada Boleslav. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +6.4%.

Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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