Today / Sweden - Superettan / Sandviken vs Osters IF

Sandviken vs Osters IF Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Sandviken

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Osters IF

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-15.0%0-24.2%0-32.3%0-4+1.4%1 1-05.5%1-19.2%1-27.7%1-34.3%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.1%2-18.5%2-27.1%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.1%3-15.2%3-24.3%3-32.4%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.6%4+-23.0%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.6% 47.6% 2.10 -12.6%

Draw 23.0% 26.0% 3.85 -6.9%

Away win 35.4% 33.3% 3.00 +6.2%

Over 2.5 63.1% 69.0% 1.45 -8.5%

Over 3.5 39.7% 46.5% 2.15 -14.6%

BTTS 63.1% 72.5% 1.38 -12.9%

Home O1.5 55.4% 59.9% 1.67 -7.5%

Away O1.5 47.9% 48.8% 2.05 -1.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 105 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -3.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.1%

H 42% / xG 1.8-1.7 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.2%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken1.8

Osters IF1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN · PPG 1.70

OSTERS IF · PPG 1.11

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken (H) 41.6%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -12.6%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -6.9%

Osters IF (A) 35.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken face Osters IF in Sweden - Superettan on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken a 42% chance, the draw 23% and Osters IF 35%, so Sandviken are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sandviken and 1.7 for Osters IF (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.11 for Osters IF. The best value bet our model finds is RES_A/O15, with an expected value of +9.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Sandviken vs Osters IF Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Superettan Predictions