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Napoli U20 vs Inter Milan U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 35 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 09:00

Napoli U20

PPG 1.29 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Inter Milan U20

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.94)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-17.6%0-25.5%0-32.6%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.0%1-111.4%1-28.2%1-33.9%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.0%2-18.6%2-26.2%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.0%3-14.3%3-23.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.3%4+-21.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 36.2% — — —

Over 2.5 56.2% — — —

Over 3.5 33.9% — — —

BTTS 59.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.2%

H 39% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.4%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 1–0 8.0%

#5 0–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Napoli U201.5

Inter Milan U201.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.2% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

NAPOLI U20 · PPG 1.29

INTER MILAN U20 · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Napoli U20 (H) 39.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Inter Milan U20 (A) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Napoli U20 face Inter Milan U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Napoli U20 a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Inter Milan U20 36%, so Napoli U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Napoli U20 and 1.4 for Inter Milan U20 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Napoli U20 are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.94 for Inter Milan U20. This match finished 1-1.

Napoli U20 vs Inter Milan U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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