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Cesena U20 vs Sassuolo U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 35 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 09:00

Cesena U20

PPG 2.24 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Sassuolo U20

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.24), Away AVERAGE (1.18) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-13.0%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.2%1-17.5%1-23.8%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.1%2-19.4%2-24.8%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.7%3-17.9%3-24.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-08.8%4+-19.1%4+-24.7%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.7% — — —

Draw 16.8% — — —

Away win 13.5% — — —

Over 2.5 68.8% — — —

Over 3.5 47.4% — — —

BTTS 59.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob59.1%

H 70% / xG 2.5-1.0 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.4%

#2 2–0 9.1%

#3 3–1 7.9%

#4 3–0 7.7%

#5 1–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cesena U202.5

Sassuolo U201.0

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.8% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CESENA U20 · PPG 2.24

SASSUOLO U20 · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.24), Away AVERAGE (1.18) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Cesena U20 (H) 69.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sassuolo U20 (A) 13.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cesena U20 face Sassuolo U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cesena U20 a 70% chance, the draw 17% and Sassuolo U20 14%, so Cesena U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Cesena U20 and 1.0 for Sassuolo U20 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cesena U20 are averaging 2.24 points per game versus 1.18 for Sassuolo U20. This match finished 3-2.

Cesena U20 vs Sassuolo U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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