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Dianella WE vs Perth Glory B Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 09:00

Dianella WE

PPG 1.33 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Perth Glory B

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.3% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-16.2%0-24.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.8%1-110.7%1-27.3%1-33.3%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.7%2-19.2%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.9%3-15.3%3-23.6%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.4%4+-22.3%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.9% 50.0% 2.00 -8.2%

Draw 23.5% 28.6% 3.50 -17.8%

Away win 30.6% 34.5% 2.90 -11.3%

Over 2.5 59.8% — — —

Over 3.5 37.4% — — —

BTTS 61.3% 71.4% 1.40 -14.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 6.4%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.3%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–0 7.8%

#4 1–2 7.3%

#5 2–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dianella WE1.7

Perth Glory B1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DIANELLA WE · PPG 1.33

PERTH GLORY B · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Dianella WE (H) 45.9%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -8.2%

Draw 23.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -17.8%

Perth Glory B (A) 30.6%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -11.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dianella WE face Perth Glory B in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dianella WE a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Perth Glory B 31%, so Dianella WE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Dianella WE and 1.4 for Perth Glory B (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dianella WE are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.83 for Perth Glory B. This match finished 2-2.

Dianella WE vs Perth Glory B Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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