Incheon Utd PPG 0.75
Jeju Utd PPG 1.75Incheon Utd face Jeju Utd in South-Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Incheon Utd a 42% chance, the draw 28% and Jeju Utd 30%, so Incheon Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Incheon Utd and 1.0 for Jeju Utd (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Incheon Utd are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.75 for Jeju Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.2%. This match finished 1-0.
Based on 48 resolved predictions
Caution: Away form (1.75) strong but model favors Home (P=41.9%)