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O. Kingsway vs Western Knights Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Matchday 8 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 07:00

O. Kingsway

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDLL

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Western Knights

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDDL

// Model verdict

BTTS 63% chance

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-19.4%0-26.5%0-33.0%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.9%1-112.3%1-28.5%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.8%2-18.0%2-25.5%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.5%3-13.5%3-22.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.5%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.2% 55.6% 1.80 -36.6%

Draw 25.9% 27.8% 3.60 -6.8%

Away win 38.9% 27.8% 3.60 +40.0%

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.2% — — —

BTTS 54.5% 66.7% 1.50 -18.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 84 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.1%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.5%

A 39% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 8.9%

#4 1–2 8.5%

#5 2–1✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

O. Kingsway1.3

Western Knights1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.2%

Form & verdict PPG

O. KINGSWAY · PPG 1.33

WESTERN KNIGHTS · PPG 1.33

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

63%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

O. Kingsway (H) 35.2%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -36.6%

Draw 25.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.8%

Western Knights (A) 38.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +40.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

O. Kingsway face Western Knights in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives O. Kingsway a 35% chance, the draw 26% and Western Knights 39%, so Western Knights are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for O. Kingsway and 1.4 for Western Knights (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, O. Kingsway are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.33 for Western Knights. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +40.0%. This match finished 2-1.

O. Kingsway vs Western Knights Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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