Today / Australia - Western Australia NPL / Armadale vs Stirling

Armadale vs Stirling Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 07:00

Armadale

PPG 0.50 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Stirling

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-12.8%0-24.8%0-35.5%0-4+11.5%1 1-01.1%1-13.8%1-26.6%1-37.6%1-4+15.8%2 2-00.8%2-12.6%2-24.5%2-35.2%2-4+10.8%3 3-00.3%3-11.2%3-22.1%3-32.4%3-4+5.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.6%4+-21.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 11.1% 30.8% 3.25 -63.9%

Draw 12.3% 23.1% 4.33 -46.7%

Away win 76.6% 57.1% 1.75 +34.1%

Over 2.5 86.0% — — —

Over 3.5 71.0% — — —

BTTS 72.3% 74.1% 1.35 -2.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 6.4%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 85%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)3.5 BTTS prob72.3%

A 77% / xG 1.4-3.5 / O2.5 86% / BTTS 72%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.6%

#2 1–2 6.6%

#3 1–4 6.5%

#4 0–3 5.5%

#5 2–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Armadale1.4

Stirling3.5

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 86.0% · O3.5 PROB 71.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ARMADALE · PPG 0.50

STIRLING · PPG 2.00

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Armadale (H) 11.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -63.9%

Draw 12.3%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -46.7%

Stirling (A) 76.6%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV +34.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Armadale face Stirling in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Armadale a 11% chance, the draw 12% and Stirling 77%, so Stirling are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Armadale and 3.5 for Stirling (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 86% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Armadale are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 2.00 for Stirling. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +34.1%. This match finished 2-4.

Armadale vs Stirling Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Western Australia NPL Predictions