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Gangwon vs Seoul Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 05:00

Gangwon

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Seoul

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.8%0-115.9%0-28.0%0-32.7%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.2%1-113.3%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.5%2-15.6%2-22.8%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.5%3-11.6%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.3% 38.2% 2.62 -23.2%

Draw 32.2% 33.3% 3.00 -3.4%

Away win 38.5% 35.7% 2.80 +7.8%

Over 2.5 28.2% 44.4% 2.25 -36.5%

Over 3.5 11.6% 23.8% 4.20 -51.3%

BTTS 36.0% 54.1% 1.85 -33.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -30.7%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob36.0%

D 32% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 28% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.9%

#2 0–0 15.8%

#3 1–1 13.3%

#4 1–0 13.2%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gangwon0.8

Seoul1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 28.2% · O3.5 PROB 11.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GANGWON · PPG 1.50

SEOUL · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Gangwon (H) 29.3%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -23.2%

Draw 32.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -3.4%

Seoul (A) 38.5%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +7.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gangwon face Seoul in South-Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gangwon a 29% chance, the draw 32% and Seoul 39%, so Seoul are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Gangwon and 1.0 for Seoul (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gangwon are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.60 for Seoul. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Gangwon vs Seoul Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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