← Back to picks
Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura logo Paraguay flag Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Apertura - 18 Estadio Arsenio Erico· Asuncion Friday, April 24, 2026 20:45
Nacional logo Nacional PPG 1.88
2-1 HIT CS3
D. Recoleta logo D. Recoleta PPG 0.88
Over3.5· +14.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.9%
Odds: 1.76 EV: +10.7%
Draw 20.8%
Odds: 3.05 EV: -36.6%
Away 16.3%
Odds: 5.20 EV: -15.2%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.1% Odds: 2.00 +12.2%
Over 3.5 33.7% Odds: 3.40 +14.6%
BTTS 52.0% Odds: 1.80 -6.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✔
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Nacional
2.02
D. Recoleta
0.92

Model Suggestion

Home +10.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+14.6%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=62.9%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org