Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

Derry City face Shamrock Rovers in Ireland - Premier Division on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Derry City a 33% chance, the draw 27% and Shamrock Rovers 40%, so Shamrock Rovers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Derry City and 1.3 for Shamrock Rovers (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Derry City are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.50 for Shamrock Rovers. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.3%. This match finished 1-0.