Avellino vs Bari Prediction & Tips

Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 36 Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi· Avellino Friday, April 24, 2026 19:00

Avellino PPG 1.53

2-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Bari PPG 0.65

Over3.5· +23.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98% confidence

Home 65.1%

Odds: 1.90 EV: +23.7%

Draw 20.3%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -31.0%

Away 14.6%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -41.6%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 55.0% Odds: 2.10 +15.5%

Over 3.5 32.6% Odds: 3.80 +23.9%

BTTS 49.6% Odds: 1.85 -8.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

1st 2-0 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Avellino

2.04

Bari

0.84

Model SuggestionHome +23.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+23.9%)

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 55%

BTTS/No 57%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 6.9%

Bet Hit 59% (17 bets)

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.53), Away POOR (0.65) - Strong consensus