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Wexford vs Cobh Ramblers Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Regular Season - 12 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 18:45

Wexford

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Cobh Ramblers

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 66.5% vs bookmaker-implied 37.7% — a clear edge.

+76.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-13.7%0-21.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.5%1-18.5%1-24.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.7%2-19.8%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.5%3-17.5%3-23.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.4%4+-17.4%4+-23.7%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.5% 37.7% 2.65 +76.2%

Draw 18.5% 30.8% 3.25 -39.9%

Away win 15.0% 38.8% 2.58 -61.3%

Over 2.5 64.1% 51.8% 1.93 +23.7%

Over 3.5 42.0% 30.3% 3.30 +38.6%

BTTS 56.9% 59.9% 1.67 -5.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -20.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob56.9%

H 66% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.8%

#2 2–0✓ 9.7%

#3 1–1 8.5%

#4 1–0 8.5%

#5 3–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wexford2.3

Cobh Ramblers1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.0%

Form & verdict PPG

WEXFORD · PPG 2.00

COBH RAMBLERS · PPG 1.80

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Wexford (H) 66.5%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV +76.2%

Draw 18.5%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -39.9%

Cobh Ramblers (A) 15.0%

ODDS 2.58 · IMPLIED 38.8% EV -61.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wexford face Cobh Ramblers in Ireland - First Division on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wexford a 67% chance, the draw 19% and Cobh Ramblers 15%, so Wexford are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Wexford and 1.0 for Cobh Ramblers (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wexford are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.80 for Cobh Ramblers. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +76.2%. This match finished 2-0.

Wexford vs Cobh Ramblers Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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