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Treaty Utd vs UC Dublin Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Regular Season - 12 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 18:45

Treaty Utd

PPG 1.25 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

UC Dublin

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.1%0-115.1%0-28.6%0-33.3%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.6%1-113.3%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.1%2-15.9%2-23.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.5%3-11.7%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.0% 31.7% 3.15 -11.8%

Draw 30.2% 31.3% 3.20 -3.4%

Away win 41.8% 43.9% 2.28 -4.7%

Over 2.5 33.1% 46.5% 2.15 -28.8%

Over 3.5 14.8% 25.0% 4.00 -40.8%

BTTS 40.0% 54.6% 1.83 -26.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -20.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob40.0%

A 42% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.1%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–0 13.1%

#4 1–0 11.6%

#5 0–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Treaty Utd0.9

UC Dublin1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.1% · O3.5 PROB 14.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TREATY UTD · PPG 1.25

UC DUBLIN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Treaty Utd (H) 28.0%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -11.8%

Draw 30.2%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.4%

UC Dublin (A) 41.8%

ODDS 2.28 · IMPLIED 43.9% EV -4.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Treaty Utd face UC Dublin in Ireland - First Division on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Treaty Utd a 28% chance, the draw 30% and UC Dublin 42%, so UC Dublin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Treaty Utd and 1.1 for UC Dublin (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Treaty Utd are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for UC Dublin. This match finished 0-3.

Treaty Utd vs UC Dublin Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ireland - First Division Predictions