Finn Harps PPG 1.20
Athlone Town PPG 0.60Finn Harps face Athlone Town in Ireland - First Division on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Finn Harps a 60% chance, the draw 23% and Athlone Town 17%, so Finn Harps are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Finn Harps and 0.8 for Athlone Town (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Finn Harps are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.60 for Athlone Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +34.1%. This match finished 1-2.
Based on 37 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.60)