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Bray Wanderers vs Cork City Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Ireland - First Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 12 Carlisle Grounds· Bray Friday, April 24, 2026 18:45
Bray Wanderers logo Bray Wanderers PPG 2.20
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Cork City logo Cork City PPG 2.00
Home· +28.0% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bray Wanderers face Cork City in Ireland - First Division on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bray Wanderers a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Cork City 44%, so Cork City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Bray Wanderers and 1.4 for Cork City (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bray Wanderers are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 2.00 for Cork City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +28.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.1%
Odds: 4.40 EV: +28.0%
Draw 27.0%
Odds: 3.90 EV: +5.3%
Away 43.9%
Odds: 1.71 EV: -24.9%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.9% Odds: 1.83 -19.7%
Over 3.5 22.8% Odds: 3.10 -29.3%
BTTS 48.8% Odds: 1.77 -13.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Bray Wanderers
1.06
Cork City
1.37

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 43%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -14.2%
Bet Hit 33% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.20), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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