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Bray Wanderers vs Cork City Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Regular Season - 12 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 18:45

Bray Wanderers

PPG 2.20 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Cork City

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-112.0%0-28.2%0-33.8%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.3%1-112.8%1-28.8%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.0%2-16.8%2-24.7%2-32.1%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.8%3-12.4%3-21.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.1% 22.7% 4.40 +28.0%

Draw 27.0% 25.6% 3.90 +5.3%

Away win 43.9% 58.5% 1.71 -24.9%

Over 2.5 43.9% 54.6% 1.83 -19.7%

Over 3.5 22.8% 32.3% 3.10 -29.3%

BTTS 48.8% 56.5% 1.77 -13.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -20.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob48.8%

A 44% / xG 1.1-1.4 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.8%

#2 0–1 12.0%

#3 1–0 9.3%

#4 0–0 8.8%

#5 1–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bray Wanderers1.1

Cork City1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.9% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BRAY WANDERERS · PPG 2.20

CORK CITY · PPG 2.00

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.20), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Bray Wanderers (H) 29.1%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +28.0%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +5.3%

Cork City (A) 43.9%

ODDS 1.71 · IMPLIED 58.5% EV -24.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bray Wanderers face Cork City in Ireland - First Division on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bray Wanderers a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Cork City 44%, so Cork City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Bray Wanderers and 1.4 for Cork City (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bray Wanderers are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 2.00 for Cork City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +28.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Bray Wanderers vs Cork City Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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