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Waterford vs Galway Utd Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Matchday 13 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 18:45

Waterford

PPG 0.60 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWDW

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Galway Utd

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDDWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-113.0%0-29.3%0-34.5%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.7%1-112.6%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.2%2-16.1%2-24.4%2-32.1%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.4%3-12.0%3-21.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.4% 31.7% 3.15 -20.0%

Draw 26.7% 29.4% 3.40 -9.2%

Away win 47.9% 45.9% 2.18 +4.4%

Over 2.5 43.2% 54.1% 1.85 -20.1%

Over 3.5 22.3% 31.3% 3.20 -28.6%

BTTS 47.3% 59.9% 1.67 -21.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 88 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -10.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob47.3%

A 48% / xG 1.0-1.4 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 13.0%

#2 1–1✓ 12.6%

#3 0–2 9.3%

#4 1–2 9.0%

#5 0–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Waterford1.0

Galway Utd1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WATERFORD · PPG 0.60

GALWAY UTD · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.60), Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Waterford (H) 25.4%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -20.0%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.2%

Galway Utd (A) 47.9%

ODDS 2.18 · IMPLIED 45.9% EV +4.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Waterford face Galway Utd in Ireland - Premier Division on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Waterford a 25% chance, the draw 27% and Galway Utd 48%, so Galway Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Waterford and 1.4 for Galway Utd (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Waterford are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.67 for Galway Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +4.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Waterford vs Galway Utd Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ireland - Premier Division Predictions