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Ireland - Premier Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 13 Tolka Park· Dublin Friday, April 24, 2026 18:45
Shelbourne logo Shelbourne PPG 0.50
3-4 MISS
Drogheda Utd logo Drogheda Utd PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +60.5% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.3%
Odds: 1.67 EV: +4.0%
Draw 19.6%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -29.4%
Away 18.1%
Odds: 5.25 EV: -5.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.8% Odds: 2.10 +36.1%
Over 3.5 42.8% Odds: 3.75 +60.5%
BTTS 60.0% Odds: 1.95 +17.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Shelbourne
2.22
Drogheda Utd
1.12

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +36.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+60.5%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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