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Ireland - Premier Division
Regular Season - 13
Tolka Park· Dublin
Friday, April 24, 2026
18:45
Shelbourne
PPG 0.50
3-4
MISS
Drogheda Utd
PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +60.5%
⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
62.3%
Odds: 1.67
EV: +4.0%
Draw
19.6%
Odds: 3.60
EV: -29.4%
Away
18.1%
Odds: 5.25
EV: -5.0%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
64.8%
Odds: 2.10
+36.1%
Over 3.5
42.8%
Odds: 3.75
+60.5%
BTTS
60.0%
Odds: 1.95
+17.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-1
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
3-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Shelbourne
2.22
Drogheda Utd
1.12
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+36.1%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+60.5%)
Verdict & Form
⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER
Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)