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Westchester SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction— USA - USL League One

Group Stage ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 23:00

Westchester SC

PPG 1.82 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWDL

UPCOMING

Chattanooga Red Wolves

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6% — a clear edge.

+12.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.1%0-22.1%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-05.6%1-17.6%1-25.0%1-32.2%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.8%2-19.1%2-26.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.5%3-17.4%3-24.9%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-17.9%4+-25.3%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.4% 44.4% 2.25 +24.6%

Draw 20.0% 28.2% 3.55 -17.4%

Away win 24.5% 37.0% 2.70 -20.3%

Over 2.5 68.4% 60.6% 1.65 +12.9%

Over 3.5 49.4% 38.2% 2.62 +29.4%

BTTS 63.5% 65.4% 1.53 -2.8%

Home O1.5 66.3% 51.8% 1.93 +28.0%

Away O1.5 42.2% 46.5% 2.15 -9.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.5%

H 55% / xG 2.4-1.3 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.1%

#2 1–1 7.6%

#3 3–1 7.4%

#4 1–2 5.0%

#5 2–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Westchester SC2.4

Chattanooga Red Wolves1.3

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WESTCHESTER SC · PPG 1.82

CHATTANOOGA RED WOLVES · PPG 1.30

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.08 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Westchester SC (H) 55.4%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +24.6%

Draw 20.0%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -17.4%

Chattanooga Red Wolves (A) 24.5%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -20.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Westchester SC face Chattanooga Red Wolves in USA - USL League One on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Westchester SC a 55% chance, the draw 20% and Chattanooga Red Wolves 25%, so Westchester SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Westchester SC and 1.3 for Chattanooga Red Wolves (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Westchester SC are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.30 for Chattanooga Red Wolves. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +80.9%.

Westchester SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction— USA - USL League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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