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Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Group Stage ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 23:00

Charleston Battery

PPG 2.60 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLWW

UPCOMING

Hartford Athletic

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWWW

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 57.3% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-15.2%0-21.7%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.6%1-19.8%1-23.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.8%2-19.3%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.7%3-15.8%3-22.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-14.3%4+-21.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.3% 65.4% 1.53 -12.3%

Draw 21.4% 24.4% 4.10 -7.4%

Away win 21.4% 19.6% 5.10 +5.5%

Over 2.5 53.8% 61.7% 1.62 -12.8%

Over 3.5 31.7% 39.2% 2.55 -19.2%

BTTS 50.4% 60.6% 1.65 -16.8%

Home O1.5 55.8% 66.7% 1.50 -16.3%

Away O1.5 18.8% 30.8% 3.25 -23.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 152 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -17.0%

Bet Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob50.4%

H 57% / xG 1.9-0.7 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.8%

#2 1–0 14.6%

#3 1–1 9.8%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Charleston Battery1.9

Hartford Athletic0.7

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CHARLESTON BATTERY · PPG 2.60

HARTFORD ATHLETIC · PPG 1.18

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.22 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Charleston Battery (H) 57.3%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -12.3%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -7.4%

Hartford Athletic (A) 21.4%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +5.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Charleston Battery face Hartford Athletic in USA - USL Championship on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Charleston Battery a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Hartford Athletic 21%, so Charleston Battery are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Charleston Battery and 0.7 for Hartford Athletic (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Charleston Battery are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.18 for Hartford Athletic.

Charleston Battery vs Hartford Athletic Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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