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Delfin SC vs Tecnico Universitario Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro

Matchday 28 ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 21:30

Delfin SC

PPG 1.38 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLW

UPCOMING

Tecnico Universitario

PPG 0.77 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.4%0-111.7%0-24.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.9%1-112.8%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.8%2-17.0%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.6%3-12.5%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% 50.0% 2.00 -13.0%

Draw 28.5% 31.7% 3.15 -6.1%

Away win 28.1% 25.6% 3.90 +5.8%

Over 2.5 42.7% 42.6% 2.35 +0.3%

Over 3.5 20.9% 22.2% 4.50 -3.6%

BTTS 48.0% 50.0% 2.00 -4.0%

Home O1.5 30.8% 43.5% 2.30 -29.2%

Away O1.5 18.8% 26.3% 3.80 -17.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 120 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 55%

ROI 14.8%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.0%

H 44% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.9%

#2 0–0 16.4%

#3 0–1 11.7%

#4 1–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Delfin SC1.1

Tecnico Universitario0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DELFIN SC · PPG 1.38

TECNICO UNIVERSITARIO · PPG 0.77

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.38, combined xG 1.81 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Delfin SC (H) 43.5%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -13.0%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -6.1%

Tecnico Universitario (A) 28.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +5.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Delfin SC face Tecnico Universitario in Ecuador - Liga Pro on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Delfin SC a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Tecnico Universitario 28%, so Delfin SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Delfin SC and 0.7 for Tecnico Universitario (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Delfin SC are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.77 for Tecnico Universitario. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +0.3%.

Delfin SC vs Tecnico Universitario Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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