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Hessen Kassel vs Eintracht Trier Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 17:00

Hessen Kassel

PPG 1.80 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLL ·

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Eintracht Trier

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-16.4%0-24.7%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.3%1-110.7%1-27.8%1-33.8%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-18.9%2-26.5%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.4%3-14.9%3-23.6%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-13.0%4+-22.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.9% — — —

Draw 23.8% — — —

Away win 35.3% — — —

Over 2.5 60.8% — — —

Over 3.5 37.6% — — —

BTTS 61.5% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 42.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -39.7%

Bet Hit 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 2–0 6.1%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hessen Kassel1.7

Eintracht Trier1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HESSEN KASSEL · PPG 1.80

EINTRACHT TRIER · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Hessen Kassel (H) 40.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eintracht Trier (A) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hessen Kassel face Eintracht Trier in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hessen Kassel a 41% chance, the draw 24% and Eintracht Trier 35%, so Hessen Kassel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Hessen Kassel and 1.5 for Eintracht Trier (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hessen Kassel are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.38 for Eintracht Trier. This match finished 0-1.

Hessen Kassel vs Eintracht Trier Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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