Today / USA - NWSL / Boston Legacy W vs Angel City W

Boston Legacy W vs Angel City W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Group Stage ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 00:00

Boston Legacy W logo
Boston Legacy W
PPG 1.17 · HOME
LAST 5
DLLLL
2 – 5
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Angel City W logo
Angel City W
PPG 1.33 · AWAY
LAST 5
DDDLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-110.4%0-26.7%0-32.9%0-4+1.3%1 1-09.8%1-112.7%1-28.3%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.0%2-17.8%2-25.1%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.5%3-13.2%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.7%
Draw 26.1%
Away win 38.2%
Over 2.5 53.8%
Over 3.5 31.6%
BTTS 54.6%
Home O1.5 33.8%
Away O1.5 39.5%

League track record

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5 50%
BTTS 51%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -6.6%
Bet Hit 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%
#2 0–1 10.4%
#3 1–2 8.3%
#4 1–0 9.8%
#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Boston Legacy W1.2
Angel City W1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BOSTON LEGACY W · PPG 1.17

ANGEL CITY W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap -0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Boston Legacy W (H) 35.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Angel City W (A) 38.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Season Statistics average per match · 19 matches · 2026

Boston Legacy W ▾ lower is better Angel City W

Attack

12.3
Shots
13.7
3.6
Shots on target
4.1
5.5
Shots off target
5.1
3.2
Blocked shots
4.6
7.3
Shots inside box
8.5
4.9
Shots outside box
4.7
29.6%
Shooting accuracy
29.5%
31.9%
Goals per shot on target
39.0%
1.16
Goals
1.58
1.32
xG for 7·5 of 19
1.57

Defence

11.4
Shots faced
10.9
4.4
Shots on target faced
4.2
1.63
Goals conceded
1.26
1.64
xG against 7·5 of 19
1.79
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
3.0

Control

52.6%
Possession
51.4%
391
Passes
329
309
Accurate passes
253
79.0%
Pass accuracy
76.9%
4.1
Corners
5.4
4.0
Corners faced
4.2
2.1
Offsides
0.9

Discipline

11.9
Fouls
10.9
1.7
Yellow cards
1.1
0.16
Red cards
0.05

Match Preview & Prediction

Boston Legacy W face Angel City W in USA - NWSL on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boston Legacy W a 36% chance, the draw 26% and Angel City W 38%, so Angel City W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Boston Legacy W and 1.3 for Angel City W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boston Legacy W are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.33 for Angel City W. This match finished 2-5.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org