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Vojvodina vs Železničar Pančevo Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 19:00

Vojvodina

PPG 2.33 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Železničar Pančevo

PPG 1.24 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDLW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-15.8%0-22.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.2%1-110.7%1-25.1%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.3%2-19.9%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.3%3-16.1%3-22.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-14.2%4+-22.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.5% 62.5% 1.60 -16.0%

Draw 24.0% 26.7% 3.75 -6.0%

Away win 23.5% 21.7% 4.60 +4.9%

Over 2.5 53.9% 63.7% 1.57 -15.4%

Over 3.5 31.6% 42.0% 2.38 -24.8%

BTTS 54.4% 62.5% 1.60 -13.0%

Home O1.5 54.5% 65.4% 1.53 -16.6%

Away O1.5 25.7% 30.8% 3.25 -9.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -37.4%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.4%

H 52% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–0 10.3%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0✓ 11.2%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vojvodina1.8

Železničar Pančevo1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VOJVODINA · PPG 2.33

ŽELEZNIČAR PANČEVO · PPG 1.24

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.88 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vojvodina (H) 52.5%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -16.0%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -6.0%

Železničar Pančevo (A) 23.5%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +4.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vojvodina face Železničar Pančevo in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vojvodina a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Železničar Pančevo 24%, so Vojvodina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Vojvodina and 1.0 for Železničar Pančevo (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vojvodina are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.24 for Železničar Pančevo. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +4.8%. This match finished 1-0.

Vojvodina vs Železničar Pančevo Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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