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Radnicki 1923 vs IMT Novi Beograd Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 17:00

Radnicki 1923

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWD

2 – 1

FULL TIME

IMT Novi Beograd

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-111.5%0-25.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.3%1-113.3%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.3%2-17.7%2-23.6%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.2%3-13.0%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.9% 44.2% 2.26 -3.0%

Draw 28.5% 32.3% 3.10 -7.0%

Away win 28.6% 32.3% 3.10 -6.8%

Over 2.5 42.7% 51.3% 1.95 -16.7%

Over 3.5 20.6% 29.9% 3.35 -18.6%

BTTS 47.6% 59.9% 1.67 -20.5%

Home O1.5 30.9% 45.5% 2.20 -32.0%

Away O1.5 25.3% 36.4% 2.75 -18.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -37.4%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.6%

H 43% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.3%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–0 12.4%

#4 0–1 11.5%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radnicki 19231.2

IMT Novi Beograd0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RADNICKI 1923 · PPG 1.71

IMT NOVI BEOGRAD · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.23, combined xG 2.09 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Radnicki 1923 (H) 42.9%

ODDS 2.26 · IMPLIED 44.2% EV -3.0%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -7.0%

IMT Novi Beograd (A) 28.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -6.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Radnicki 1923 face IMT Novi Beograd in Serbia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radnicki 1923 a 43% chance, the draw 28% and IMT Novi Beograd 29%, so Radnicki 1923 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Radnicki 1923 and 0.9 for IMT Novi Beograd (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radnicki 1923 are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.57 for IMT Novi Beograd. This match finished 2-1.

Radnicki 1923 vs IMT Novi Beograd Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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