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Landskrona BoIS vs Ostersunds FK Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 11:00

Landskrona BoIS

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDDD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Ostersunds FK

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-111.3%0-25.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.4%1-113.3%1-26.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.9%2-17.9%2-23.9%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.1%3-13.1%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.4% 40.8% 2.45 -3.5%

Draw 30.9% 29.4% 3.40 +5.1%

Away win 29.7% 37.0% 2.70 -11.9%

Over 2.5 43.1% 54.1% 1.85 -20.3%

Over 3.5 20.7% 31.3% 3.20 -20.3%

BTTS 47.2% 60.6% 1.65 -22.1%

Home O1.5 31.9% 44.4% 2.25 -28.2%

Away O1.5 30.2% 41.7% 2.40 -27.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 105 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -3.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.2%

D 31% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.4%

#3 1–0 13.4%

#4 0–1 11.3%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Landskrona BoIS1.2

Ostersunds FK1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LANDSKRONA BOIS · PPG 1.44

OSTERSUNDS FK · PPG 1.30

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.19, combined xG 2.17 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Landskrona BoIS (H) 39.4%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -3.5%

Draw 30.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +5.1%

Ostersunds FK (A) 29.7%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -11.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Landskrona BoIS face Ostersunds FK in Sweden - Superettan on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Landskrona BoIS a 39% chance, the draw 31% and Ostersunds FK 30%, so Landskrona BoIS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Landskrona BoIS and 1.0 for Ostersunds FK (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Landskrona BoIS are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.30 for Ostersunds FK. This match finished 1-1.

Landskrona BoIS vs Ostersunds FK Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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