Red Star vs Guingamp Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

Red Star face Guingamp in France - Ligue 2 on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Red Star a 56% chance, the draw 24% and Guingamp 20%, so Red Star are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Red Star and 0.9 for Guingamp (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Red Star are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.13 for Guingamp. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.4%. This match finished 3-2.