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Laval vs Rodez Aveyron Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Regular Season - 32 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 18:00

Laval

PPG 0.67 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Rodez Aveyron

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-112.8%0-27.8%0-33.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-010.9%1-113.2%1-28.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.6%2-16.9%2-24.2%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.0%3-12.4%3-21.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.3% 38.5% 2.60 -18.6%

Draw 28.5% 29.9% 3.35 -4.5%

Away win 40.2% 38.5% 2.60 +4.5%

Over 2.5 39.2% 54.1% 1.85 -27.5%

Over 3.5 19.2% 31.3% 3.20 -38.6%

BTTS 45.5% 60.6% 1.65 -24.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 24.9%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob45.5%

D 28% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–1 12.8%

#3 1–0 10.9%

#4 0–0✓ 10.5%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Laval1.0

Rodez Aveyron1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LAVAL · PPG 0.67

RODEZ AVEYRON · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.53) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Laval (H) 31.3%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -18.6%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -4.5%

Rodez Aveyron (A) 40.2%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +4.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Laval face Rodez Aveyron in France - Ligue 2 on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Laval a 31% chance, the draw 28% and Rodez Aveyron 40%, so Rodez Aveyron are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Laval and 1.2 for Rodez Aveyron (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Laval are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.53 for Rodez Aveyron. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +4.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Laval vs Rodez Aveyron Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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