Annecy vs Pau FC Prediction— France - Ligue 2

France - Ligue 2 Regular Season - 32 Parc des Sports· Annecy Friday, April 24, 2026 18:00

Annecy PPG 1.60

5-1 MISS

Pau FC PPG 1.67

Home· +20.6% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Annecy face Pau FC in France - Ligue 2 on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Annecy a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Pau FC 18%, so Annecy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Annecy and 1.0 for Pau FC (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Annecy are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.67 for Pau FC. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +20.6%. This match finished 5-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.3%

Odds: 2.00 EV: +20.6%

Draw 21.6%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -26.6%

Away 18.2%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -34.5%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.7% Odds: 1.93 +7.5%

Over 3.5 33.3% Odds: 3.35 +11.6%

BTTS 53.1% Odds: 1.73 -8.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Annecy

1.95

Pau FC

0.96

Model SuggestionHome +20.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.67)