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Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Peru - Primera División Wednesday, April 15, 2026
Cajamarca PPG 1.75
2-2 MISS
Sport Huancayo PPG 0.25
Home· +52.1% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Cajamarca face Sport Huancayo in Peru - Primera División on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cajamarca a 69% chance, the draw 20% and Sport Huancayo 12%, so Cajamarca are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Cajamarca and 0.7 for Sport Huancayo (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cajamarca are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.25 for Sport Huancayo. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +52.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.5%
Odds: 2.22 EV: +52.1%
Draw 19.7%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -38.9%
Away 11.8%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -60.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.1% Odds: 2.10 +7.3%
Over 3.5 29.0% Odds: 3.80 +10.2%
BTTS 43.5% Odds: 1.80 -21.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Cajamarca
2.02
Sport Huancayo
0.70

Model Suggestion

Home +52.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 64%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 52%
ROI -0.6%
Bet Hit 54% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.75), Away POOR (0.25) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org