Sochaux vs Bourg-en-Bresse Prediction— France - National 1

Match Preview & Prediction

Sochaux face Bourg-en-Bresse in France - National 1 on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sochaux a 83% chance, the draw 14% and Bourg-en-Bresse 4%, so Sochaux are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Sochaux and 0.3 for Bourg-en-Bresse (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 24% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sochaux are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 0.80 for Bourg-en-Bresse. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +22.1%. This match finished 2-1.