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Buducnost Podgorica vs Bokelj Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 18:00

Buducnost Podgorica

PPG 1.31 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDLD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Bokelj

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.4%0-113.5%0-25.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.9%1-113.1%1-25.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.2%2-16.4%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.6%3-12.1%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% 52.6% 1.90 -30.1%

Draw 33.1% 32.3% 3.10 +2.6%

Away win 30.1% 26.3% 3.80 +14.4%

Over 2.5 34.2% 40.0% 2.50 -14.5%

Over 3.5 18.0% 21.1% 4.75 -8.7%

BTTS 43.5% 47.4% 2.11 -8.2%

Home O1.5 30.9% 41.7% 2.40 -25.8%

Away O1.5 23.0% 24.4% 4.10 -3.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -55.0%

Bet Hit 23%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob43.5%

D 33% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 17.4%

#2 1–0 16.9%

#3 1–1 13.1%

#4 0–1 13.5%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Buducnost Podgorica1.0

Bokelj0.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDUCNOST PODGORICA · PPG 1.31

BOKELJ · PPG 1.29

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.19, combined xG 1.75 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Buducnost Podgorica (H) 36.8%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -30.1%

Draw 33.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +2.6%

Bokelj (A) 30.1%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +14.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Buducnost Podgorica face Bokelj in Montenegro - First League on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Buducnost Podgorica a 37% chance, the draw 33% and Bokelj 30%, so Buducnost Podgorica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Buducnost Podgorica and 0.8 for Bokelj (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Buducnost Podgorica are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.29 for Bokelj. This match finished 0-0.

Buducnost Podgorica vs Bokelj Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

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