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SV Horn vs Traiskirchen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 28 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 17:30

SV Horn

PPG 2.15 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Traiskirchen

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 74.5% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a clear edge.

+20.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.6%0-21.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.3%1-16.8%1-24.4%1-31.9%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.9%2-18.9%2-25.7%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-06.0%3-17.7%3-25.0%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-19.4%4+-26.1%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.8% 59.9% 1.67 +9.9%

Draw 17.3% 25.0% 4.00 -30.8%

Away win 17.0% 26.7% 3.75 -36.3%

Over 2.5 74.5% 61.7% 1.62 +20.7%

Over 3.5 54.5% — — —

BTTS 67.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob67.0%

H 66% / xG 2.6-1.3 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.9%

#2 3–1 7.7%

#3 2–0 6.9%

#4 1–1 6.8%

#5 3–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SV Horn2.6

Traiskirchen1.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.5% · O3.5 PROB 54.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SV HORN · PPG 2.15

TRAISKIRCHEN · PPG 1.18

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.15), Away AVERAGE (1.18) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

SV Horn (H) 65.8%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV +9.9%

Draw 17.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -30.8%

Traiskirchen (A) 17.0%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -36.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

SV Horn face Traiskirchen in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SV Horn a 66% chance, the draw 17% and Traiskirchen 17%, so SV Horn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for SV Horn and 1.3 for Traiskirchen (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SV Horn are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 1.18 for Traiskirchen. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.7%. This match finished 0-0.

SV Horn vs Traiskirchen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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