Memmingen vs W. Burghausen Prediction & Tips

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Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern Bayern - 31 Memminger Arena· Memmingen Friday, April 24, 2026 17:00

Memmingen PPG 1.14

0-1 HIT CS4

W. Burghausen PPG 0.86

Home· +23.9% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.0%

Odds: 2.95 EV: +23.9%

Draw 26.1%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -7.3%

Away 31.9%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -33.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 1.77 -13.8%

Over 3.5 26.9% Odds: 2.95 -20.6%

BTTS 53.0% Odds: 1.65 -12.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✔

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Memmingen

1.42

W. Burghausen

1.20

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+23.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away POOR (0.86)