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Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern Bayern - 31 SMR-Arena· Buchbach Friday, April 24, 2026 17:00
Buchbach logo Buchbach PPG 1.47
0-4 MISS
Augsburg B logo Augsburg B PPG 0.93
Home· +32.8% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.8%
Odds: 2.38 EV: +32.8%
Draw 22.0%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -20.8%
Away 22.2%
Odds: 2.50 EV: -44.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.6% Odds: 1.60 -4.6%
Over 3.5 37.2% Odds: 2.50 -7.0%
BTTS 58.4% Odds: 1.50 -12.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Buchbach
1.94
Augsburg B
1.15

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -4.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away POOR (0.93)

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