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Bryne vs Haugesund Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Saturday, August 29, 2026, 12:00

Bryne

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWL

UPCOMING

Haugesund

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.0% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-12.6%0-23.1%0-32.4%0-4+2.4%1 1-02.4%1-15.6%1-26.6%1-35.1%1-4+5.3%2 2-02.6%2-16.0%2-27.1%2-35.5%2-4+5.7%3 3-01.8%3-14.3%3-25.1%3-34.0%3-4+4.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.9%4+-24.5%4+-33.5%4+-4+3.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.1% 40.8% 2.45 -9.1%

Draw 20.2% 28.6% 3.50 -17.6%

Away win 42.7% 43.5% 2.30 -1.8%

Over 2.5 72.0% 71.4% 1.40 +0.8%

Over 3.5 52.0% 50.0% 2.00 +4.0%

BTTS 69.6% 73.5% 1.36 -5.3%

Home O1.5 62.4% 54.6% 1.83 +14.2%

Away O1.5 67.8% 55.6% 1.80 +22.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 97 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 21.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob69.6%

A 43% / xG 2.2-2.3 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.1%

#2 1–2 6.6%

#3 2–1 6.0%

#4 1–1 5.6%

#5 2–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bryne2.2

Haugesund2.3

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BRYNE · PPG 1.56

HAUGESUND · PPG 1.80

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bryne (H) 37.1%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -9.1%

Draw 20.2%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -17.6%

Haugesund (A) 42.7%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -1.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bryne face Haugesund in Norway - 1st Division on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bryne a 37% chance, the draw 20% and Haugesund 43%, so Haugesund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Bryne and 2.3 for Haugesund (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bryne are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.80 for Haugesund. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +22.0%.

Bryne vs Haugesund Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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