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Bayern Munich B vs Aubstadt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern Bayern - 31 Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße· München Friday, April 24, 2026 17:00
Bayern Munich B logo Bayern Munich B PPG 1.80
1-0 MISS
Aubstadt logo Aubstadt PPG 1.53
Over3.5· +21.9% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bayern Munich B face Aubstadt in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bayern Munich B a 51% chance, the draw 21% and Aubstadt 27%, so Bayern Munich B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Bayern Munich B and 1.5 for Aubstadt (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bayern Munich B are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.53 for Aubstadt. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +21.9%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%
Odds: 2.05 EV: +5.4%
Draw 21.3%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -25.4%
Away 27.3%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -15.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.4% Odds: 1.65 +12.9%
Over 3.5 46.9% Odds: 2.60 +21.9%
BTTS 67.1% Odds: 1.53 +2.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-2
4th 1-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Bayern Munich B
2.06
Aubstadt
1.47

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +12.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+21.9%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.80), Away GOOD (1.53)

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