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Parndorf vs Kremser Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 28 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 17:00

Parndorf

PPG 2.33 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Kremser

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-110.1%0-25.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.0%1-113.0%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.8%2-18.4%2-24.5%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.3%3-13.6%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.2% 47.6% 2.10 -13.5%

Draw 27.7% 29.4% 3.40 -5.8%

Away win 31.1% 34.5% 2.90 -9.8%

Over 2.5 42.3% 54.1% 1.85 -21.8%

Over 3.5 21.5% — — —

BTTS 47.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.9%

H 41% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 0–1 10.1%

#4 0–0✓ 9.3%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Parndorf1.3

Kremser1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.3% · O3.5 PROB 21.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PARNDORF · PPG 2.33

KREMSER · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away GOOD (1.92)

Win probability 1X2

Parndorf (H) 41.2%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -13.5%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -5.8%

Kremser (A) 31.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -9.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Parndorf face Kremser in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Parndorf a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Kremser 31%, so Parndorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Parndorf and 1.1 for Kremser (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Parndorf are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.92 for Kremser. This match finished 0-0.

Parndorf vs Kremser Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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