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LNZ Cherkasy vs Veres Rivne Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 12:30

LNZ Cherkasy

PPG 1.95 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWL ·

UPCOMING

Veres Rivne

PPG 0.98 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDW ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-110.6%0-24.3%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.9%1-113.0%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.7%2-17.9%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.0%3-13.2%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 75.2% 1.33 -40.2%

Draw 29.9% 25.6% 3.90 +10.0%

Away win 25.1% 9.5% 10.50 +98.1%

Over 2.5 41.3% 45.5% 2.20 -9.1%

Over 3.5 20.7% 23.8% 4.20 -7.8%

BTTS 47.2% 38.5% 2.60 +22.7%

Home O1.5 33.4% 59.9% 1.67 -44.2%

Away O1.5 23.5% 11.5% 8.70 +62.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.2%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.9%

#2 0–0 13.0%

#3 1–1 13.0%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LNZ Cherkasy1.2

Veres Rivne0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LNZ CHERKASY · PPG 1.95

VERES RIVNE · PPG 0.98

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.41, combined xG 2.04 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

LNZ Cherkasy (H) 45.0%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -40.2%

Draw 29.9%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +10.0%

Veres Rivne (A) 25.1%

ODDS 10.50 · IMPLIED 9.5% EV +98.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

LNZ Cherkasy face Veres Rivne in Ukraine - Premier League on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LNZ Cherkasy a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Veres Rivne 25%, so LNZ Cherkasy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for LNZ Cherkasy and 0.8 for Veres Rivne (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LNZ Cherkasy are averaging 1.95 points per game versus 0.98 for Veres Rivne. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +137.3%.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Veres Rivne Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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