Today / Scotland - Premiership / Aberdeen vs Rangers

Aberdeen vs Rangers Prediction— Scotland - Premiership

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

Aberdeen

PPG 1.68 · HOME

LAST 5

WLL ··

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Rangers

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-18.4%0-25.1%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.2%1-112.3%1-27.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.4%2-18.9%2-25.4%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.6%3-14.3%3-22.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.2%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.6% 25.6% 3.90 +70.0%

Draw 27.0% 28.6% 3.50 -3.3%

Away win 29.4% 54.6% 1.83 -27.7%

Over 2.5 50.5% 59.9% 1.67 -15.7%

Over 3.5 29.7% 38.2% 2.62 -13.3%

BTTS 53.1% 62.5% 1.60 -15.0%

Home O1.5 40.1% 36.4% 2.75 +10.3%

Away O1.5 36.0% 59.9% 1.67 -39.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -1.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.1%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–0 10.2%

#4 0–0 7.0%

#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aberdeen1.5

Rangers1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ABERDEEN · PPG 1.68

RANGERS · PPG 1.57

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Aberdeen (H) 43.6%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +70.0%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -3.3%

Rangers (A) 29.4%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -27.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Aberdeen face Rangers in Scotland - Premiership on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aberdeen a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Rangers 29%, so Aberdeen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Aberdeen and 1.2 for Rangers (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aberdeen are averaging 1.68 points per game versus 1.57 for Rangers. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +63.5%. This match finished 0-1.

Aberdeen vs Rangers Prediction— Scotland - Premiership

Match Preview & Prediction

More Scotland - Premiership Predictions