Today / Sweden - Ettan - Norra / Enköping vs Stockholm Internazionale

Enköping vs Stockholm Internazionale Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra · Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

Enköping

PPG 2.11 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLDL

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Stockholm Internazionale

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 61.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-18.8%0-28.7%0-35.8%0-4+4.5%1 1-05.0%1-110.0%1-29.9%1-36.5%1-4+5.1%2 2-02.8%2-15.6%2-25.6%2-33.7%2-4+2.9%3 3-01.1%3-12.1%3-22.1%3-31.4%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.0% 24.4% 4.10 -3.4%

Draw 22.1% 28.2% 3.55 -12.9%

Away win 54.9% 59.5% 1.68 -7.8%

Over 2.5 59.7% 61.0% 1.64 -2.1%

Over 3.5 36.7% 39.2% 2.55 -6.4%

BTTS 55.0% 61.7% 1.62 -10.9%

Home O1.5 31.1% — — —

Away O1.5 56.9% 61.7% 1.62 -7.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob55.0%

A 55% / xG 1.1-2.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 8.7%

#4 0–1 8.8%

#5 2–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Enköping1.1

Stockholm Internazionale2.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ENKÖPING · PPG 2.11

STOCKHOLM INTERNAZIONALE · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.85 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Enköping (H) 23.0%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -3.4%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -12.9%

Stockholm Internazionale (A) 54.9%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -7.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Enköping face Stockholm Internazionale in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Enköping a 23% chance, the draw 22% and Stockholm Internazionale 55%, so Stockholm Internazionale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Enköping and 2.0 for Stockholm Internazionale (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Enköping are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 1.75 for Stockholm Internazionale. This match finished 0-3.

Enköping vs Stockholm Internazionale Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Ettan - Norra Predictions