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Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Wednesday, April 15, 2026
Luzern B PPG 1.77
3-3 MISS
Cham PPG 1.08
Home· +39.8% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.8%
Odds: 2.30 EV: +39.8%
Draw 19.0%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -35.4%
Away 20.2%
Odds: 2.50 EV: -49.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.2% Odds: —
Over 3.5 50.2% Odds: —
BTTS 66.3% Odds: 1.30 -13.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 3-1
4th 2-0
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Luzern B
2.37
Cham
1.32

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 33%
ROI 10.3%
Bet Hit 75% (20 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.77) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

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