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Nurnberg W vs Hamburger SV W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Germany - Frauen Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - Frauen Bundesliga Regular Season - 23 Max-Morlock-Stadion· Nuremberg Friday, April 24, 2026 16:30
Nurnberg W logo Nurnberg W PPG 0.91
0-1 MISS
Hamburger SV W logo Hamburger SV W PPG 0.82
Over3.5· +44.4% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nurnberg W face Hamburger SV W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nurnberg W a 41% chance, the draw 21% and Hamburger SV W 38%, so Nurnberg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Nurnberg W and 1.9 for Hamburger SV W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nurnberg W are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 0.82 for Hamburger SV W. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +44.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.1%
Odds: 2.45 EV: +0.7%
Draw 21.3%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -26.5%
Away 37.6%
Odds: 2.45 EV: -7.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.0% Odds: 1.70 +24.1%
Over 3.5 52.5% Odds: 2.75 +44.4%
BTTS 72.2% Odds: 1.55 +11.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Nurnberg W
1.94
Hamburger SV W
1.85

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +24.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+44.4%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.91), Away POOR (0.82)

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