Al Nassr face Al Ittifaq in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Nassr a 91% chance, the draw 6% and Al Ittifaq 3%, so Al Nassr are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Al Nassr and 0.6 for Al Ittifaq (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Nassr are averaging 2.77 points per game versus 1.23 for Al Ittifaq. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.7%. This match finished 1-0.
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.77), Away AVERAGE (1.23) - Strong consensus